Analyst: New Generation In Two Years
Eventually, we're going to have to stop calling the PlayStation 3, Xbox 360 and Wii "next-generation consoles" because before too long, a whole new generation will be upon us (time travels fast, friends). And according to GameSpot and Pacific Coast Securities' Evan Wilson, we can expect that next generation to kick off in 2010.
Wilson was talking about EA's ambitious revenue predictions, and then he moved into his expectations for the new set of consoles that will become available in due time. He thinks Nintendo will launch theirs first (presumably, in 2010), followed by Microsoft a year later...but interestingly enough, Wilson made no mention of a PlayStation 4. He moved on to say the next set of Nintendo and Sony portables will drop in 2010 as well, although he didn't specify whether he was talking about whole new systems or just new versions of the DS and PSP. But getting back to the consoles, does it strike anyone else as a little strange that Wilson picked 2010? That's only two years off, after all, and perhaps the reason he didn't mention the PS4 is because Sony keeps saying the PS3 is at the start of a 10-year life cycle.
So if he's correct, it means we'll see something like the Xbox 720 or the Wii2 in a couple years time, and the PS3 will just continue along for another six years? Wouldn't Sony be more inclined to produce another competing system earlier? Well, we know the PS3 hasn't fully realized its exceedingly high potential, so perhaps the PS3 is capable of producing software on par with Xbox 720 titles. Oh well, we'll have to see what transpires over the next few years...and the waiting is half the fun.
5/9/2008 Ben Dutka