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Pachter Predicts Modern Warfare 2 Will Sell 18 Million+

Is it really possible for Infinity Ward's Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 2 to become the biggest selling game in history?

Well, Wedbush Morgan Securities analyst Michael Pachter doesn't think so, but he's still predicting gaudy numbers for the hotly anticipated sequel. According to the latest episode of GTTV's Bonus Round, Pachter says Modern Warfare 2 will sell 14 million copies in the "holiday quarter" and up to 18 million over the next year. Obviously, it depends a lot on marketing and - we believe - critic reviews, but we seriously doubt that either will be a problem for this particular game. Said Pachter:

"...I think most people think this will do 10-12. It really depends on marketing — if they blitz the airwaves and we see ads on every basketball game, football game, college football game, every beauty pageant...maybe 14. And how many will it sell in a 12-month period? Maybe 17 or 18...but over 20 million, that’s just hard to do. If we penetrate 25% of 360 and PS3 owners, we’re only talking about 12 million units, that’s the problem. So for this thing to do more, it’s gotta have a better attach rate than GTA San Andreas did. That’s likely, but double the attach rate? No way."

There's no doubt that Modern Warfare 2 will be the best seller of the year and likely the best seller of the generation thus far, but the best ever? That'll take some doing. We just want a bad-ass shooter that delivers the goods in spades and we have every confidence it'll do that...like we said, we only want awesome experiences, damnit.

Related Game(s): Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 2

10/25/2009 10:33:14 PM John Shepard

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Comments (52 posts)

Cpt_Geez
Sunday, October 25, 2009 @ 10:56:16 PM
Reply

It might sell over 20 million, everywhere I go people are talking about MW2. Who knows we will just have to wait and see.

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Cpt_Geez
Monday, October 26, 2009 @ 11:02:39 AM

I got over that kotick $%*@ awhile ago, I'm just going to buy the damn game now. Some how some way activision will get there money, its cold but its fair.

Agree with this comment 2 up, 0 down Disagree with this comment

Oxvial
Sunday, October 25, 2009 @ 11:16:59 PM
Reply

I'm not going to be part of those 18 Million+ of morons

Last edited by Oxvial on 10/25/2009 11:17:13 PM

Agree with this comment 9 up, 17 down Disagree with this comment

cLoudou
Sunday, October 25, 2009 @ 11:20:30 PM

Me neither.

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WorldEndsWithMe
Monday, October 26, 2009 @ 12:32:42 AM

yeah count me out. Activision can bite my shiny metal butt.

Last edited by WorldEndsWithMe on 10/26/2009 12:36:03 AM

Agree with this comment 4 up, 7 down Disagree with this comment

onsiterecording
Monday, October 26, 2009 @ 12:33:07 AM

Thanks for the insult, I must be a moron for wanting a game that is shaping up to be nothing short of incredible according to anyone that has got there hands on it.

lock me up straight away, I must be nuts

Agree with this comment 9 up, 5 down Disagree with this comment

eLLeJuss
Monday, October 26, 2009 @ 1:20:18 AM

Sick of all the fps's. Count me out :)

Agree with this comment 3 up, 9 down Disagree with this comment

Fane1024
Monday, October 26, 2009 @ 1:40:35 AM

I also won't be buying MW2, but thumbs down for calling people "morons". Not cool.

Agree with this comment 11 up, 1 down Disagree with this comment

Oxvial
Monday, October 26, 2009 @ 2:35:47 AM

thanks to those 18 millons of people we are infested with FPS...bunch of morons.

Agree with this comment 3 up, 15 down Disagree with this comment

johnld
Monday, October 26, 2009 @ 4:04:42 AM

Moron right HERE! hahaha, i love my FPS and want to support Infinity ward. At least i'm not a douchebag who calls people morons for having their own opinion/tastes concerning videogame, no offense. Just because you dont like the genre doesnt make your perspective valid.

Last edited by johnld on 10/26/2009 4:07:58 AM

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Wage SLAVES
Monday, October 26, 2009 @ 5:01:20 AM

"I'm not going to be part of those 18 Million+ of morons"

18 million morons? Hmm...the odds seem to be against you.

Agree with this comment 8 up, 1 down Disagree with this comment

Godslim
Monday, October 26, 2009 @ 5:29:54 AM

morons.....bit aggressive isnt it!
tbh us "morons" dont care what u think!

Last edited by Godslim on 10/26/2009 5:32:01 AM

Agree with this comment 8 up, 2 down Disagree with this comment

www
Monday, October 26, 2009 @ 8:15:05 AM

Well I'm part of the 18 million only am not a moron. I reckon most of you sick of FPSs on here HAVE Resistance 2, Killzone 2 and maybe W@W & Far Cry 2, that's why you're sick of it. Me I only have K2, Far Cry 2 and COD4 so I could do with just one more FPS, MW2. Nobody asked you to choke yourself up with FPSs.

Yea Kotick is arrogant, I know, but am not doing this for him, its for Infinity Ward.

Agree with this comment 6 up, 0 down Disagree with this comment

Orvisman
Monday, October 26, 2009 @ 9:01:26 AM

I do not have any problem with FPS. I buy them. I like all genres. I'm a renaissance gamer.

That said, those of you claiming you don't like Kotick but are buying the game to support Infinity Ward have to realize you are supporting Activision and Kotick because Infinity Ward isn't some independent company with a contract with Activision. Activision owns Infinity Ward, so you ARE supporting Activision.

Activision makes more money on IP it owns like COD than something it is only publishing for an independent developer (like EA did with Brutal Legend).

As a gamer, I want this game and other Activision games. I dislike Kotick and think he is a megadouche, but as a gamer I want the games I want regardless of the company's president. I, however, am not deluding myself by saying I'm only buying it to support Infinity Ward.

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Godslim
Monday, October 26, 2009 @ 10:36:53 AM

tbh if u dont like fps games dont buy em their are plenty of other games out there.....

Agree with this comment 2 up, 0 down Disagree with this comment

Oxvial
Monday, October 26, 2009 @ 10:38:30 AM

Infinity Ward = Kotick also I wouldn't support them until the day they make another type of game .

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Juanalf
Monday, October 26, 2009 @ 5:31:25 PM

I won't be part of those 18 Million+ either; but I sure as hell won't call anybody a moron for buying a game they want.

Agree with this comment 7 up, 0 down Disagree with this comment

Banky A
Monday, October 26, 2009 @ 10:36:16 PM

Goddamnit Oxvial. lulwut

Sullivan!

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jerocarson
Sunday, October 25, 2009 @ 11:22:46 PM
Reply

how i hate FPS. . . .

Agree with this comment 3 up, 11 down Disagree with this comment

Kangasfwa
Monday, October 26, 2009 @ 6:20:59 PM

If you hate FPS games then you can skip the article. No need to comment.

Agree with this comment 1 up, 0 down Disagree with this comment

Mornelithe
Sunday, October 25, 2009 @ 11:24:57 PM
Reply

It's not going to sell nearly as well on PC w/o dedicated servers, and server browsing. Will undoubtedly do well on consoles, however.

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WorldEndsWithMe
Monday, October 26, 2009 @ 12:33:35 AM
Reply

I'd laugh myself silly if it sold like a million or 2.

Agree with this comment 4 up, 5 down Disagree with this comment

mexgeo86
Monday, October 26, 2009 @ 9:04:17 AM

me too

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___________
Monday, October 26, 2009 @ 1:09:51 AM
Reply

doubt it will sell that well they have pissed off a sh*load of people with their no dedicated server BS.
first they pump up the price 10 bucks so its now the same price as the console versions, now this?
way to go activision if there was a competition for loosing your customers you would win the gold year after year.
boby kotic should write a novel.
"how to loose your fans in 10 days"

i wish developers would stop treating the PC as the bastard child its really starting to annoy me.
i use to love playing games on my PC, use to do it every single day, now, i havent touched my PC in months.

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WorldEndsWithMe
Monday, October 26, 2009 @ 1:42:35 AM

aren't you using it now?

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LegendaryWolfeh
Monday, October 26, 2009 @ 2:21:20 AM

But's that just the PC section, Patcher didn't even seem like he was talking about the PC market

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___________
Monday, October 26, 2009 @ 7:02:03 AM

LOL
i was referring to my gaming pc, i do my web browsing on my laptop.
because i find you get allot of crap slowing your computer down from visiting certain sites.
no not those type of sites.

yea, but im pretty sure he was referring to overall sales, dont underestimate how many coppies they could of sold on PC
i remember MW was sold out for like 2 months after release.
IW are idiots, there placing in IW net to decrease pirating but in doing so there going to cause allot more people to do so.
there putting measures in place to stop them from playing online, but where theres a will theres a way.
anything is hackable if you know what your doing.


Last edited by ___________ on 10/26/2009 7:05:28 AM

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Fane1024
Tuesday, October 27, 2009 @ 3:02:26 AM

@ World

__________ wasn't, but he could have been using his PS3 (like I do) or PSP or iPhone or whatever to visit the site. I never use a PC at home.

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godsman
Monday, October 26, 2009 @ 2:14:31 AM
Reply

It would sell more than 18 million if Activision doesn't make 1 Call of Duty every year. The value goes down like that. One reason games like Final Fantasy and Gran Turismo are highly anticipated games, because they don't come out every year.

Agree with this comment 2 up, 1 down Disagree with this comment

LegendaryWolfeh
Monday, October 26, 2009 @ 2:23:01 AM
Reply

Whether most like it or not, COD4 was a great game with a major online hit, just because it's not your cup of tea doesn't take away from how good it is. The same will obviously be said for MW2, Activision isn't the one who made the game IW did, so just because Activision has it's claws in it doesn't change IW did a great job at making a great game.

Agree with this comment 5 up, 0 down Disagree with this comment

Banky A
Monday, October 26, 2009 @ 3:40:37 AM
Reply

Well.. at least it's over, 9,000!!!

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johnld
Monday, October 26, 2009 @ 4:10:57 AM

Thats 18 times stronger than frieza, hahaha. what a push over. Just cause goku's hair turns blonde, eyes turned green, and got pissed off, he cut himself in half.lol

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johnld
Monday, October 26, 2009 @ 4:12:11 AM
Reply

Kindda makes you wonder though. This guy has a pretty easy job just making predictions. Ummm... i predict 18 million and 1 sales pls.

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Wage SLAVES
Monday, October 26, 2009 @ 4:59:30 AM
Reply

18 million? Maybe over its lifetime.

I can't wait for this one. This is the only FPS that matters to me. 2 more weeks!!!

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Snaaaake
Monday, October 26, 2009 @ 7:29:10 AM
Reply

Why is it suddenly there's a lot of CoD hater around?
I thought everyone was so looking forward to this game.
Have faith in Infinity Ward.

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Godslim
Monday, October 26, 2009 @ 10:18:51 AM

you've got a new bread of anti cod fan boys ;)

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JackC8
Monday, October 26, 2009 @ 7:47:53 AM
Reply

I'll never understand. From everything I've seen, it just a generic FPS war shooter. And the single player campaign looks like something you'd download for $9.95.

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chucknasty
Monday, October 26, 2009 @ 8:48:16 AM

But, but, but...it has snowmobiles...

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Banky A
Monday, October 26, 2009 @ 10:34:49 PM

And, and, and it's got a new numeric value added to it's name.

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redman479
Monday, October 26, 2009 @ 8:11:06 AM
Reply

Patcher's an idiot. He's never been right about any of his predictions.

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www
Monday, October 26, 2009 @ 8:20:17 AM
Reply

Don't hate on MW2 cause its multi-plat. I wouldn't be surprised at all, if its far better than Killzone 2!

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chucknasty
Monday, October 26, 2009 @ 8:53:18 AM

We're not hating on it because it's multiplat. We're hating on it because it's a FPS.

Agree with this comment 2 up, 0 down Disagree with this comment

Zorigo
Monday, October 26, 2009 @ 9:15:04 AM
Reply

isn't pokemon the best selling game ever?

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Diggity Dan
Monday, October 26, 2009 @ 9:39:53 AM
Reply

I have it preordered and Nov 10th taken off work :)

My personal favorite FPS. Can't wait.

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frylock25
Monday, October 26, 2009 @ 10:06:50 AM
Reply

i never cared for these games. i buy video games for the single player game. if there is a good online part then it is cool. these games feel centered around the online play and just arent for me. i do enjoy fps but just not interested in this game.

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mykjessnjr
Monday, October 26, 2009 @ 12:18:31 PM
Reply

I'm no good at FPS so I'm gonna pass on this one as well. I know I'd have my ass handed to me- especially online multiplayer- so I'll save myself the embarassment, and the $60. Everyone who purchases, have fun and good luck.

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Highlander
Monday, October 26, 2009 @ 12:27:33 PM
Reply

A question for one and all. If the previous version was so darned good and had excellent muli-player - which by all accounts was, and did. Can someone tell me why so very many people would purchase this new version? If the single player campaign is a cursory affair with very little content, aren't you just re-buying the multi-player game engine - again?

Sorry, in a market place crowded with fps and 3ps games, I just can't get excited by yet another armed forced first person shooter. In a way this seems like Madden used to be on the PS2. Year after year EA would crank out essentially the same game with a roster update and they'd mess around adding a few frills here and there, and removing a few redundant features. And people bought it. Never understood why. This (MW2) is beginning to look that way too.

Perhaps I am wrong, and the game has a good campaign/story mode. Perhaps...but I doubt it.

Patcher has the most ridiculously easy job. Make predictions that can be right or wrong without consequence...Man, I want that job!

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frylock25
Monday, October 26, 2009 @ 12:48:36 PM
Reply

who is this company that this moron works for? why do they care and why do they pay this idiot for this information? every time i read an article on here about this guy i just dont understand why anyone gives a crap what the hell this guy says.

i can "analize" things and make "predictions" how do i get into this line of work? in this economy this guy gets paid to guess about the future? wtf?!?!

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slayerkillemall
Monday, October 26, 2009 @ 1:54:21 PM
Reply

I'wont be buying this game,not because it wont be good,but because..

im going to support,my fellow pc gamers,there is a war going on,its developer vs gamers ...

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Kr3sn1k
Monday, October 26, 2009 @ 3:34:15 PM
Reply

Not getting this i hated the first one...........

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Juanalf
Monday, October 26, 2009 @ 5:44:38 PM
Reply

I recently downloaded and tried the WAW demo and thought it was horrible; The whole time I felt like I was controlling a mentally challenged robot(maybe I just plain sucked).I won't be getting this new one but I hope it turns out well for those that will get it.

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Metal Head
Monday, October 26, 2009 @ 7:13:24 PM
Reply

Count me in on not buying this game no matter what. Resistance 2 and Killzone is all I need to frag some people online. How about releasing rpg's instead of more fps that play the same.

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