Analyst Predicts That Activision Will Close Infinity Ward
By now, we're all familiar with the losses Infinity Ward has suffered since the Activision fiasco and although the publisher remains confident, analysts are predicting the end of the development studio.
Earlier, Wedbush Morgan analyst Michael Pachter said IW could lose more than 20 individuals and Activision would simply replace the departed and continue on. But according to GameSpot, Janco Partners analyst Mike Hickey has a much darker view of the matter: he says the losses "have created meaningful uncertainty around the future of their Call of Duty: Modern Warfare franchise," and the studio itself could be in trouble. Hickey actually expects Activision to close down Infinity Ward once the next map pack add-on for MW2 is available, and that would mark the bitter end of a talented team. In regards to a third Modern Warfare, the analyst said that without IW, development would be split between two studios "not historically tied to the franchise." The game itself? Well, he doesn't think it'll be the huge hit MW2 was, although he does expect it to arrive in the fourth quarter of 2011 and ultimately bring in $738 million...a bit less than the $1 billion generated by MW2. It's still a very large number, though.
But if Infinity Ward really does fold, that'll be a sad result of this whole debacle. Nobody likes to see great teams fall apart, after all.
4/28/2010 9:00:04 PM John Shepard