EA's Moore: No New Consoles For At Least 3 Years
So as we're five or six years into the new generation, people are already starting to ask: when will Sony and Microsoft release their next consoles?
Well, in a break from tradition (based on history), EA Sports president Peter Moore doubts either company will invest in a new system "for at least three years." The former Microsoft and Sega executive described PlayStation Move and Kinect as "tantamount to new platform launches" and adds that we're still "nowhere near mass market pricing." In speaking to Eurogamer, Moore admits that chronologically, we're in the last few years of previous cycles but in terms of pricing, it's only "mid-cycle."
"Over the years, $199 and below has been where 75 to 80 per cent of business is done. With the exception of 360 and the Wii, PlayStation 3, which seems to have a lot of momentum, is not even close to that.
So we're still to reach a price point across all three consoles where historically 75 to 80 per cent of business is done. Yeah, I think we're in mid-cycle."
Microsoft has already said Kinect will extend the 360's lifespan by five years and Sony claims this generation will definitely last longer than previous ones. Finished Moore:
"When you've got things like Move and Kinect, these are tantamount to new platform launches for both Sony and Microsoft respectively. I don't think they are going to be investing in new hardware 12 months, 24 months, 36 months after investing I'm sure a considerable amount of money in getting both of these platforms out."
Well, that's fine. We're not ready for a new generation yet, anyway. Developers keep saying they can get much more out of the PlayStation 3, and every Sony generation has been similar in one way- the last year or two gave us the most impressive titles - in terms of technological advancement - of the era.
Tags: next-gen consoles, next generation, ps4, ps3
9/14/2010 12:18:13 PM Ben Dutka
Put this on your webpage or blog:
Email this to a friend
Follow PSX Extreme on Twitter
Comments (57 posts)
Temjin001
Tuesday, September 14, 2010 @ 12:36:54 PM
Reply
And I'm fine with console hardware remaining static for a few more years. The amount of processing devs have these days can generate a wealth of gaming entertainment for many years to come. I think staying profitable is the biggest obstacle now as we can see what a lot of talent and multi-million dollar budgets can do for games like Uncharted 2 and GoW3.
to_far_apart
Tuesday, September 14, 2010 @ 12:40:40 PM
iamnosuperman
Tuesday, September 14, 2010 @ 12:39:57 PM
Reply
Last edited by iamnosuperman on 9/14/2010 12:41:00 PM
Highlander
Tuesday, September 14, 2010 @ 12:42:54 PM
Reply
That PS4 is getting further away again. I still think that Sony will deliver a new platform in year 7 or 8 of the PS3's life. We're ending year 4 right now. So, look for something in 2013 or 2014 and rumors in late 2012.
to_far_apart
Tuesday, September 14, 2010 @ 12:47:53 PM
Temjin001
Tuesday, September 14, 2010 @ 12:51:31 PM
I also expect MS to make it's next-gen debut first. Seeing that MS gained considerable traction using this method for 360, I see them wanting to try and cuddle up to 3rd party devs and secure all those timed exclusives again on the next go around.
Simcoe
Tuesday, September 14, 2010 @ 1:04:10 PM
Shams
Tuesday, September 14, 2010 @ 1:30:37 PM
WorldEndsWithMe
Tuesday, September 14, 2010 @ 2:21:36 PM
Highlander
Tuesday, September 14, 2010 @ 2:32:34 PM
If MS release a new console that was not backwards compatible with the 360 and a year later Sony released a PS3 that could play every PS3 title made I believe that the advantage of a year's head start would be effectively nullified.
There have been persistent attempts to do some kind of universal console, but I don't honestly think that this will work. However I could definitely see the PlayStation brand itself effectively becoming a platform. they almost managed that this time round, and I think that with PS4 they may pull it off. If the PS4 arrived with complete PS3/PSN compatibility, it will be a drop in replacement for existing PS3 owners. The existing software support and eco-system that revolves around the PS3 isn't immediately invalidated, in fact it can continue to thrive, easy the cost and effort required to move to the updated PS4 platform.
The PS4 can offer distinct enhancements, such as really being able to run all games at 1080p60 with full AA, AF and HDR support (for example). So there would be reasons to upgrade, but like the PS3 I think it would be a slow burn. You'd literally have a two tier system based around the PS3 and PSN as the base, or entry level, and the PS4 would then be the 'hardcore' level.
I don't know if this is what will happen, but when I look and see that consumer TVs are going to stick at 720p/1080p for a long time, and 3D is coming in at 720p/1080p, there really isn't a reason for a major console upgrade. In fact, if Sony simply added a second Cell CPU (PowerXcell8i design of course) along with an updated RSX and more memory they could easily launch a relatively consumer friendly PS4 system with far more than double the performance of the PS3.
Sure you could go for some exotic CPU and GPU, but since 1080p is the target resolution, you'd be wasting a lot of resource. Which brings me back to the PS4, and an evolution of the PS3 design which takes advantage of everything already done for the PS3/PSN platform.
Of course, I may be looking at this with rose tinted lenses, and some insane person may want to try to force another decade long TV update cycle immediately the current one is over - but I doubt it. HDTV and HDTV in 3D is pretty much good enough for now and the foreseeable future.
JackC8
Tuesday, September 14, 2010 @ 3:36:46 PM
I think the future lies with more processing power that allows AI characters to move and act in a more realistic and intelligent fashion, and of course there's plenty of room for more photo-realistic graphics.
Shams
Tuesday, September 14, 2010 @ 4:03:02 PM
Yeah, I think in DC's case, Sega didn't have the financial strength nor the infrastructure to support it. It was kind of the company's final attempt to make a splash in the industry. And they did. They made history. Unfortunately, they tanked while doing so.
@Highlander,
I agree b/c offers good coverage for a system at launch, but 360 didn't have much to speak of in the way of offering b/c, and people were fine with that because they had Halo and Gears. Where as people with their 60gig and 20gig ps3's felt that they didn't plunk down the extra cash just to play upscaled ps2 games. However, for the hardcore gamer, who has invested a lot in a previous generation library, and especially during this one as it has been more expensive, this is an important thing.
Regarding the architecture of the next ps3, I agree that Sony stands to benefit a lot from reusing much of the technology and infrastructure it has built up already. Keeping that in mind while opening one's view of the future of gaming 13 years from now is quite the balancing act, though, I'm sure. I also agree it might be reasonable to expect another wait until the next big paradigm shift in TV tech.
Highlander
Tuesday, September 14, 2010 @ 4:56:54 PM
It was the twin change of the advent of the digital distribution method and of HDTV that drove the current generation. Without a similarly fundamental driver I believe that the next upgrade cycle will be evolution not revolution. If towards the end of the next generation fully digital devices, or even higher resolution TVs, or other more exotic display technology comes along, then I can see another revolutionary cycle where there is a complete change of hardware. But without such fundamental drivers, there is little reason to do more than tweak the platforms and provide extra computing power to make 1080p60 easily doable.
maxpontiac
Tuesday, September 14, 2010 @ 12:47:34 PM
Reply
LimitedVertigo
Tuesday, September 14, 2010 @ 12:53:44 PM
Reply
Jawknee
Tuesday, September 14, 2010 @ 1:01:42 PM
Simcoe
Tuesday, September 14, 2010 @ 1:08:35 PM
Shams
Tuesday, September 14, 2010 @ 1:47:01 PM
ace_boon_coon
Tuesday, September 14, 2010 @ 2:01:47 PM
WorldEndsWithMe
Tuesday, September 14, 2010 @ 2:23:35 PM
Temjin001
Tuesday, September 14, 2010 @ 1:07:17 PM
Simcoe
Tuesday, September 14, 2010 @ 1:12:12 PM
SvenMD
Tuesday, September 14, 2010 @ 1:12:31 PM
"But MOM, it's shiny and new!! I need it now! It even comes with this cool red blinking light on the front!!! Can I have it!??!"
Temjin001
Tuesday, September 14, 2010 @ 1:17:31 PM
Jawknee
Tuesday, September 14, 2010 @ 1:50:25 PM
Simcoe
Tuesday, September 14, 2010 @ 1:54:25 PM
I think most people like us (gamers), always see it as a a Sony versus MS, because it's only really those two companies that cater to the serious adult gamer.
Highlander
Tuesday, September 14, 2010 @ 2:34:36 PM
B-RadGfromOV
Tuesday, September 14, 2010 @ 1:41:26 PM
Reply
Lawless SXE
Tuesday, September 14, 2010 @ 1:54:43 PM
Reply
I would expect Microsoft to release a new console at about the same time, with Kinect built into. I just don't really see Kinect as being as profitable as they seem to think it will be, and so they'll need to increase it by increasing sales. That will very likely jack up the price. Just like this generation, they will want to get a head-start on Sony in the hope that they will be able to gain an insurmounatble sales lead.
If both of my above predictions are true, then I hope Sony uses a bit of common sense and doesn't rush the PS4 to market. I hope that it will release in 2014/15, so as to be something of a mid-gen console, thus likely boosting its sales. I think that it will feature an upgraded version of Move. Three years may seem a long time to wait, but in doing so they will be able to implement more emergent technologies into the device, or wait for existing technologies to drop in price making it cheaper. I also think that this is a good idea because by that point in time, people would be clamouring for a new console, and I just don't think another Slimbox would be able to hold up against the PS4.
Peace.
Highlander
Tuesday, September 14, 2010 @ 2:36:55 PM
Beamboom
Tuesday, September 14, 2010 @ 1:57:48 PM
Reply
Killa Tequilla
Tuesday, September 14, 2010 @ 2:19:03 PM
Reply
WorldEndsWithMe
Tuesday, September 14, 2010 @ 2:28:23 PM
Reply
While a PS3 owner would love to give Heavy Rain a shot with Move, the people who ignored Alan Wake almost completely of course aren't going to buy a peripheral that can only be used for super duper casual games when they need hardcore fast shooters.
Killa Tequilla
Tuesday, September 14, 2010 @ 3:37:00 PM
WorldEndsWithMe
Tuesday, September 14, 2010 @ 4:39:27 PM
RebelJD
Tuesday, September 14, 2010 @ 2:31:37 PM
Reply
It's not like it's the same system people bought in '06. It looks nicer, has a smaller GPU, has had numerous firmware updates, software upgrades, etc.
With Move coming out this week, that makes it another upgrade.
I'm glad that they're thinking about the consumer more so than they're thinking about the media. Price wise, it definitely isn't low enough for this to be mass market. When the PS3 hits the $200 range, it'll be a HUGE steal when it comes to purchasing a product worth every penny.
Amazingskillz
Tuesday, September 14, 2010 @ 2:47:47 PM
Reply
Highlander
Tuesday, September 14, 2010 @ 4:04:46 PM
Alienange
Tuesday, September 14, 2010 @ 2:49:08 PM
Reply
Call them peripherals if you want, the fortune made by Nintendo has forced the big boys to put a new spin on their machines to make them look more casual/family friendly. It's a lot more aggressive than simply releasing a peripheral.
BigBoss4ever
Tuesday, September 14, 2010 @ 3:42:26 PM
Reply
Underdog15
Tuesday, September 14, 2010 @ 4:15:02 PM
Reply
If either system lasts another 5 years of good sales, it will not be due to the Kinect or Move.
That idea alone is strange for Microsoft. Do they mean 5 years longer than it would have lasted without Kinect? Or do they mean it will merely help keep it alive for next 5 years? Does that imply the 360 has nothing more to add at this point if it means 5 years from now?
My point, I guess, is the niether the Kinect nor the PSMove will add that kind of additional longevity to the systems. I can see it -assisting- in it's longevity, but it certainly would not be the cause.
StangMan80
Tuesday, September 14, 2010 @ 8:55:20 PM
BikerSaint
Tuesday, September 14, 2010 @ 6:36:52 PM
Reply
But since Sony & M$(not so much) have sunk so much time, research, & money into them, I'm sure both Sony & M$ will wait longer to bring out their next gen consoles.
And don't forget, you also have to factor into all this, the PS3's new-fangled 3D too.
I do think Highlander's time-line on nex-gen is right on the money.
Hezzron
Tuesday, September 14, 2010 @ 8:27:57 PM
Reply
I've always liked Peter Moore. He seems like a reasonable guy. I'm happy he took that "promotion" to EA.
StangMan80
Tuesday, September 14, 2010 @ 8:53:17 PM
StangMan80
Tuesday, September 14, 2010 @ 8:48:37 PM
Reply
___________
Wednesday, September 15, 2010 @ 4:33:21 AM
Reply
sony and M$ have both spent a sh*t load of money on these consoles, there absolutely bleeding money ATM so there going to want to milk them for as much as they got!
move and kinect will certainly help extend their life span, but maybe 1 or 2 years nothing really drastic.
id say reveal 2013 and release 2014 anything before that is too early.
not to mention were in a recession, and well most people just bought a new console, not to mention new console comes with new tech so will probably need new TVs.
well, again, most people just bought new TVs and there not going to be rushing out to buy a new one thats for sure!
so A there is no need for any new consoles, RAGE, crysis 2 have proved there is plenty breath left in them!
B the companies, sony and M$ simply can not afford it any time soon!
ninty on the other hand they seriously need to release a new system!
the only thing they had going for them is motion controls, now both M$ and sony have that so they need a new gimmick.
if it supported HD than it would not be so bad, they would be fine with the wii because of its unique games.
but it does not, so IMO its unique games are not enough to heard the sheep in!
what we do need though is for developers to stop treating PC like the bastard child!
there is amazing tech out there, amazing hardware but no developer is using it!
we have basically had the PC benchmark for what 3 years now?
its time to move on, its time to say well if crysis can do what it did with 2007 hardware than this is what we can do with 2010 hardware!
and i mean with every developer, not the once in a blue moon like crysis 2 and RAGE.
sure im 100% positive both will push the PCs to their limit, BUT 2 games, well 2 games is not enough to warrant the price tag such gaming comes with!
i mean i just bought a new card, 1 470GTX cost me freaking 500 bucks!
if i want to play games in 3D, which i most certainly do than ill need another 470GTX at the least to get decent frames out of it!
so thats 1K spent on upgrading the system, not to mention the cash i spent on the original build!
all that just for 2 games?
yeah, soooooooooooooooo not worth it!
alcrowley
Wednesday, September 15, 2010 @ 9:18:38 AM
Reply
http://playstationlifestyle.net/2010/08/12/ps3-launches-in-brazil-costs-a-small-fortune/
They need to invest in developing countries. There’s a big market that doesn't get any attention at all, waiting for reasonable prices and support! So far neither of the 3 did it…
Simcoe
Wednesday, September 15, 2010 @ 11:38:02 AM
Somewhat related to what I said above and two your second point. I have a friend who has done business in Brazil and reports that there is a lot of "red tape" to deal with. Perhaps that is why it's taken the PS3 so long to make an official release in Brazil. Also, I'm sure long before Sony knew what those taxes and tariffs were and knew that not many people would be able to afford what needed to be charged.

See Full Image









to_far_apart
Reply
Tuesday, September 14, 2010 @ 12:33:56 PM
But right now I'm content and thoroughly enjoying this generation. Keep them coming!