Consultant Predicts The Death Of Single-Player Experiences
We're always worried about it. But in some ways, we have to disagree with such dire predictions.
With the multiplayer boom stronger than ever and gamers often accusing developers of a lacking single-player focus, many are wondering if solo campaigns will eventually bite the dust. Well, according to veteran game consultant Mark Cerny, they will.
In speaking to Eurogamer, Cerny predicted that the single-player experience will be extinct in three years. This is depressing for those of us who have never been bitten by the multiplayer bug, but maybe we'll be forced to accept it. Said Cerny:
"I believe the traditional single-player game experience will be gone in three years. Right now you sit in your living room and you're playing a game by yourself – we call it the sp mission or the single-player campaign. In a world with Facebook I just don't think that's going to last.
We're already seeing the wall starting to crumble a bit. Demon's Souls, even though on one level it's a single-player game, as you're walking through the world you're seeing the ghosts of everybody who died in that world via the internet. You can leave messages for them. They can leave messages for you. There's actually a boss you fight in that game which is controlled by another player."
As an example of Cerny's theory, Nintendo recently submitted a patent application for a "massively single-player game," which the consultant calls "kind of Orwellian." He says that games without other players will be "unthinkable given how connected we're becoming," and at the end of the day, the world may never see Single Player vs. AI again. At least, not in the purest form.
And perhaps, when that does does come, I drop the controller forever.
Tags: games industry, video games, game campaigns, multiplayer
8/17/2011 3:05:34 PM Ben Dutka
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Comments (103 posts)
maxpontiac
Wednesday, August 17, 2011 @ 5:41:16 PM
Highlander
Wednesday, August 17, 2011 @ 3:33:30 PM
Reply
I have also yet to see any multi-player game with a compelling multi-player narrative. Open world games perhaps, but nothing with a focused and progressive narrative. Single player games are no more likely to die out as suggested than the novel is.
But, I'll tell you this. If this ever comes to pass, I will yank the cord on my console, and put it away and find a good book to read, a paper book, the kind with pages and a binding, not the crappy kindle kind.
Killa Tequilla
Wednesday, August 17, 2011 @ 4:06:37 PM
maxpontiac
Wednesday, August 17, 2011 @ 5:42:58 PM
Dancemachine55
Wednesday, August 17, 2011 @ 6:09:22 PM
I actually enjoy fun multiplayer games like GT5, Motorstorm, LBP 2, Gears 2 and Halo Reach, but there are very view games that excite me like a great single player game. Mass Effect 3 is the most popular game preordered amongst me and all my friends, what does that tell you?
If single player were to die, I'd play games far less than I do now. Most likely I'll watch more movies or read more books for my story fix, and just play online with friends once or twice a week whenever they are free.
GuyverLT
Wednesday, August 17, 2011 @ 6:51:23 PM
I've been looking into the whole male escort thing for older women........ I hear it pays well also....
Er!! Did I type that out loud???? Well just scratch out that last part then and prtend you never saw it.
Peace
Last edited by GuyverLT on 8/17/2011 6:52:36 PM
Beamboom
Thursday, August 18, 2011 @ 3:05:04 AM
"Single player games are no more likely to die out as suggested than the novel is." -> Exactly. That's how I see it too. No discussion there.
But you mention something I'd love to discuss a bit further:
"I have also yet to see any multi-player game with a compelling multi-player narrative."
This is a huge challenge indeed, and most multiplayer games have no narrative whatsoever for this very reason.
But I would like to point out that there is light at the end of the tunnel: Many multiplayer coop games follow the storyline regardless of being played single or cooperatively. And some of those are pretty well executed in that particular aspect.
Games like Mercenaries 2, Fear 3, Borderlands and Lost Planet 2 comes to mind, and the best of them all imo: Saints Row 2.
In all these games the storyline is the exact same being played single or with a friend. Cut scenes, scripted events, all the narratives remains.
And to use Saints Row 2 as the proof of concept here: The missions are cleverly made so that they can either be solved both solo or cooperatively, or a npc takes the place of your buddy when playing single, just like in any other game. During coop play neither of you feel "obsolete", the missions all have that extra room for you in the events.
Also I'd say the single player experience do not suffer from the coop option at all - actually it may be quite the contrary. The added efforts put into the making of the coop play may have dribbled down also to the SP.
And the cut scenes are done using the game engine, so each player see their own ingame custom character as the main character from their perspective of the story.
I guess it sounds weird how both players then feel like playing the main character of a story with only one main, but really, it works!
By all means, none of the mentioned games are nowhere *near* anything like the dramas in Mass Effect or <insert your fav here> when it comes to storytelling, but then again, the business is not that experienced with creating multiplayer narratives. I remain cautiously optimistic in these regards.
Last edited by Beamboom on 8/18/2011 3:16:38 AM
Paolo Kutaragi
Thursday, August 18, 2011 @ 7:26:38 AM
telly
Thursday, August 18, 2011 @ 9:28:06 AM
Highlander
Thursday, August 18, 2011 @ 10:44:37 AM
Games like Mercenaries 2, Fear 3, Borderlands and Lost Planet 2 comes to mind, and the best of them all imo: Saints Row 2.
Beamboom, you need to stop confusing genre.
Mercenaries 2 - Open world, sandbox, shooter
Fear 3 - horror, shooter
Borderlands - 1st person shooter prentending to be an action RPG
Lost Planet - Shooter
Saints Row 2 - Open world, third person shooter.
They're all shooters, open world shooters, sandbox shooters first person shooters, third person shooters. Note the commonality, shooters. Sorry, but I don't see why you're bothering to mention any of these games as some kind of counter to my point. The point presumably being this - "I have also yet to see any multi-player game with a compelling multi-player narrative. Open world games perhaps, but nothing with a focused and progressive narrative. "
None of the games you've mentioned counter what I'm saying. They're all shooters with single and multi-player modes that do not rely principally on the single player mode of the game. They're built to be multi-player shooters. What they lack is that focused, progressive narrative that you see in a single player focused game like Uncharted. Uncharted is a third person action/shooter. But the primary game mode is single player, and it has a very focused and progressive narrative. The game is focused on this story, and not on the multi-player action.
Without the single player experience, there's nothing, literally nothing, in the game for me at all. Each of the games you mentioned has single and multi-player modes, and the story (such as it is) plays out in those single player modes.
So, I'll say again;
I have also yet to see any multi-player game with a compelling multi-player narrative. Open world games perhaps, but nothing with a focused and progressive narrative. Single player games are no more likely to die out as suggested than the novel is.
But, I'll tell you this. If this ever comes to pass, I will yank the cord on my console, and put it away and find a good book to read, a paper book, the kind with pages and a binding, not the crappy kindle kind.
Beamboom
Thursday, August 18, 2011 @ 2:39:43 PM
Sorry, I just do not understand...!
Also I do not try to counter anything you say, I try to contribute to the topic by saying that maybe there is light at the end of the tunnel, and try to come up with examples that might indicate so... That maybe it is possible to feature a good narrative also in multi player games.
That's all...
Last edited by Beamboom on 8/18/2011 2:44:30 PM
Highlander
Thursday, August 18, 2011 @ 3:57:41 PM
Beamboom
Friday, August 19, 2011 @ 2:42:43 AM
I don't mean to say that I think you should play the mentioned games. Not at all. Actually I'd not recommend a single one of them to you :)
I just think there is hope ahead, and that these games illustrate a small step in that direction.
For example, Uncharted, as you mention. I see no reason why those games could not have featured coop play. You usually have a companion anyway, and he/she is also participating in solving the puzzles. Why not let that character be playable as an *optional* feature? That would not affect the narrative in any radical way?
This is what I try to say: I believe a good narrative *and* a good multiplayer coop feature can be combined. One does not necessarily kill the other. Yes it does complicate things, yes it is a challenge, but it is doable. Or so I claim. But I may be wrong.
Like a wise man once said: It's hard to make predictions, especially of the future. :)
Last edited by Beamboom on 8/19/2011 3:05:01 AM
mastiffchild
Sunday, August 21, 2011 @ 10:19:21 PM
Also, there's SP and there's SP. While there's online for games like Demon's Souls it's still BASICALLY a SP game and most RPGs will remain that way. Hell, unless you play PvP a lot of MMOs are still REALLY SP experiences.
I think the sales of games like Enslaved are what push things like this article but, remember, the SP in that game only had a story-there wasn't any gameplay. Combat was stiff and dull and the platforming? Don't get me started.
Anyway, a LOT of gamers want SP experiences while I imagine it'd be cheaper for devs to get people buying and sticking with MP games but even then I mostly like some SP meat to provide a frame of reference for my MP anyway.
Another thing is the games which have been KILLED by co-op lately. i love co-op and think it has it's place but it's not in games like RE and not in LP2 as AI(friendly AI esp) isn't up to the supporting role and we aren't at a place in time where online conections are stable enough to rely on full time either so what do you do if you have no Wifi? Waht if your ISP is down? What if Live/PSN/Steam fail?
Sure, online and co-op is more import5ant today but just as we all still like to play some classic game types(SMB is still as highly loved today as it ever was)there will always be a massive market for escapism of the lone variety. Even more so with the advent of better handheld gaming-look at the number of JRPGs on DS/PSP and iOS? Look at MGSPW? Look at the RE games for 3DS and, likely, for Vita? Look at Uncharted Vita?
For games to die out in three years as SP experiences we'd have to lose about a half of those gamers that buy more than two games a year. It's stupid.
LimitedVertigo
Wednesday, August 17, 2011 @ 3:47:48 PM
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cthulhu_spawn
Wednesday, August 17, 2011 @ 4:01:29 PM
Reply
Highlander
Wednesday, August 17, 2011 @ 4:46:02 PM
But besides that, I'm utterly sick of the constant intrusion of the online world and it's 7.4 billion pairs of eyes watching my every move. There's a reason I don't use Facebook, Twitter or any of those other online fart counters. I don't want to feel like I am being watched. i don't want people asking me why I'm playing a game at 3am, it should be perfectly obvious that either the game is great, or I have trouble sleeping, either way, it's NONE of their business.
Yes, I called Facebook, Twitter, and the rest "online fart counters". It's a perfect description of the level of drivel that makes up the vast majority of utterances on any of these social sites.
TheAgingHipster
Wednesday, August 17, 2011 @ 7:03:52 PM
Beamboom
Thursday, August 18, 2011 @ 1:35:12 AM
I play Mafia Wars practically entirely as a single player game. I just do "npc quests" and level up, spend my points and don't give a rat's ass about the rest of my "mafia" (guild).
@Highlander: Others don't know you are playing at 3 in the morning any more on Facebook than your friends do via the PSN friends list ;)
You can turn off your online status in Facebook just like you can log off PSN.
So your farts are not counted unless you want to share them with us. And please, don't. :D
Last edited by Beamboom on 8/18/2011 1:38:19 AM
Highlander
Thursday, August 18, 2011 @ 10:51:16 AM
Fundamentally, I see your point that you can restrict the eyes from following yo, but you and I both know it's not that easy to block all viewing eyes, and you and I also both know that's not really the point.
In security you can set up a firewall one of two ways, open everything and only block those things that become a problem, or block everything and poke holes in the wall for what is absolutely necessary. I view my privacy in a similar manner. I prefer the block all approach, but the majority in society seem blissfully unaware that they're running an open firewall.
Excelsior1
Wednesday, August 17, 2011 @ 4:02:12 PM
Reply
Beamboom
Thursday, August 18, 2011 @ 1:39:37 AM
Killa Tequilla
Wednesday, August 17, 2011 @ 4:10:17 PM
Reply
Highlander
Wednesday, August 17, 2011 @ 4:47:00 PM
WorldEndsWithMe
Wednesday, August 17, 2011 @ 5:06:48 PM
It always adds up to better games, even if it means the game we complain about dies out so something better can come along. Each person maybe just a small voice, but together we can change gaming for the better even by whining at our computers.
Last edited by WorldEndsWithMe on 8/17/2011 5:07:37 PM
Beamboom
Thursday, August 18, 2011 @ 1:40:40 AM
telly
Thursday, August 18, 2011 @ 9:35:01 AM
FatherSun
Wednesday, August 17, 2011 @ 4:31:43 PM
Highlander
Wednesday, August 17, 2011 @ 4:47:32 PM
Warrior Poet
Friday, August 19, 2011 @ 12:09:48 AM
cthulhu_spawn
Wednesday, August 17, 2011 @ 4:25:15 PM
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FatherSun
Wednesday, August 17, 2011 @ 4:28:52 PM
Reply
If he were the first to say this then I would see why he is making the statement. But, he is not the first and definitely won't be the last. Another monkey seeing others and doing as they do.
Those making this statement have a point. But having a point does not make it correct. If the industry limits or eliminates single player experiences my gaming will be cut by 99% and I may lose interest altogether. If this tragedy does happen it would not last. Years later people would be sick and tired of the "Always Connected" lifestyle and will yearn to "DISCONNECT". They will crave the single player experience again and we will cycle back to where we are now.
It's the year 2021. Hey did you hear..? There is a new game coming out that is single player only. It does not utilize online at all. Wow! Such innovation!
SixSpeedKing
Wednesday, August 17, 2011 @ 5:40:27 PM
Bjorn77
Wednesday, August 17, 2011 @ 4:40:28 PM
Reply
It is dumb, I think a great amount of money in the gaming industry is coming from people as myself. Educated people with expandable cash which they can waste on games. In my teenage years I had like 5 or 6 games which I played a lot... now I own 40+ games which I play hardly at all.
I don't think they can survive on the facebook generation in 3 years... it is a dumb remark. They are young, they are in school and have no money whatsoever. It takes at least 10-15 years imo.
Warrior Poet
Friday, August 19, 2011 @ 12:12:03 AM
BikerSaint
Wednesday, August 17, 2011 @ 4:47:09 PM
Reply
"Go straight to hell, Mark Cerny"!!!!!!!
Besides, if & when that day comes, so far I've already got 2120 "psychical" based cartridge & disc games in my collections that I'll just go revert back too....
Burgertime, Starfox64, Urban Strike, Frogger, Crazy Taxi, Bloody Roar, anyone?
Last edited by BikerSaint on 8/17/2011 5:01:22 PM
Teddie9
Wednesday, August 17, 2011 @ 5:10:12 PM
Some of the most memorable and beautiful gaming moments were meant to be experienced alone. If nearly all games had a prominent multiplayer aspect (and I mean having more importance than the single player) that would create too much competition for the multiplayer-oriented gamers. Most developers wouldn't be able to compete in that market against a publisher like Activision for Example.
For the record Demon Soul's has a unique multiplayer aspect but it has nothing really to do with connectivity. You can't speak with your co-op partners or hook up with specific people conveniently, It was designed so that you primarily still felt that you were alone on your journey - it was part of the atmosphere. Such a multiplayer experience wouldn't be accepted in this world that Mr.Cerny is predicting.
WorldEndsWithMe
Wednesday, August 17, 2011 @ 5:02:56 PM
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But if it all went to capture the flag crap like CoD then I'd be done with gaming too.
jimmyhandsome
Wednesday, August 17, 2011 @ 5:24:05 PM
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WorldEndsWithMe
Wednesday, August 17, 2011 @ 5:46:53 PM
SixSpeedKing
Wednesday, August 17, 2011 @ 5:36:36 PM
Reply
Anyway I personally think this will never come to be as too many people love single player games AS WELL AS multiplayer. It's just impossible, but if it were ever to come to be true then I would most likely never buy another game and only play all the old single player ones. Perhaps even quit gaming all together.(Though it would be a major decision to be pondered over for a long while)
Bloodysilence19
Wednesday, August 17, 2011 @ 5:39:59 PM
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Helghast
Wednesday, August 17, 2011 @ 5:43:12 PM
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Dancemachine55
Wednesday, August 17, 2011 @ 6:03:05 PM
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I think there will be a stronger multiplayer presence, perhaps new ways to go about designing multiplayer! Single player games may adopt some multiplayer design, however, the dedicated fanbase for single player experiences is quite large!! Just look at all the most hyped games this year and next!!
Batman Arkham City
Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim
Uncharted 3 (more hype over single player)
The Last Guardian
Mass Effect 3
Bioshock Infinite
All of these games are considered the "big ones" and all of them are about an incredible and engaging single player experience. So long as developers strive for those game of the year awards, single player games aren't going anywhere!!
Dancemachine55
Wednesday, August 17, 2011 @ 7:23:02 PM
Claire C
Wednesday, August 17, 2011 @ 7:29:48 PM
XmnMetal
Wednesday, August 17, 2011 @ 10:56:01 PM
Dancemachine55
Thursday, August 18, 2011 @ 7:36:30 AM
Fane1024
Saturday, August 20, 2011 @ 7:24:31 AM
Dancemachine55
Wednesday, August 17, 2011 @ 7:24:51 PM
Reply
Who knows? Even if multiplayer and online gaming dominates, single player stories may become a fad which goes in and out every few years. I doubt it will disappear completely though.
gumbi
Wednesday, August 17, 2011 @ 7:25:42 PM
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The day they stop making single player games will be the day I stop buying video games.
Last edited by gumbi on 8/17/2011 7:26:03 PM
StangMan80
Wednesday, August 17, 2011 @ 7:30:10 PM
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Highlander
Thursday, August 18, 2011 @ 12:07:57 PM
Temjin001
Wednesday, August 17, 2011 @ 7:31:02 PM
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Though, I do expect to see an increase in online connected games, competitive or not. I'm fine with games like Demon's Souls, or perhaps even Bethseda RPG's having some sort of "connected" components to say team up and cooperatively attack some side quests together etc. Other games, like highly story and content driven titles like Heavy Rain, Final Fantasy, etc, really don't seem fitting at all for any kind of direct integration of online play within the core of the game. How can they tell a good story like that?
I don't think its unrealistic to see future CoD or FPS titles foregoing the campaigns, as I'd imagine a lot of expense comes from single player spectacles. But that's the idea behind Warhawk, MAG, UT, and even good old Quake 3 Arena... So... don't know what this dude is smoke'n
Really, what kind of anecdotal attribution is this? "In a world with Facebook I just don't think that's going to last."
Haha, yeah, nice correlation there dude.
Temjin001
Wednesday, August 17, 2011 @ 7:46:44 PM
Excelsior1
Wednesday, August 17, 2011 @ 8:38:13 PM
Eld
Wednesday, August 17, 2011 @ 8:20:07 PM
Reply
But, if it does happen, with all extra free time I would be able to sit down and start making my own game using decades of experience. And guess what, I'm sure I wouldn't be alone.
Beamboom
Thursday, August 18, 2011 @ 1:57:09 AM
Highlander
Thursday, August 18, 2011 @ 10:52:22 AM
Beamboom
Friday, August 19, 2011 @ 3:31:42 AM
Highlander
Friday, August 19, 2011 @ 10:24:04 AM
Heartless Angel
Wednesday, August 17, 2011 @ 11:08:16 PM
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Beamboom
Thursday, August 18, 2011 @ 12:31:17 AM
Beamboom
Thursday, August 18, 2011 @ 12:30:30 AM
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Back when the TV came there was plenty of analysts saying it would mean the death of movie theatres. Radio should be long dead too, according to some back then. The book should have been dead even longer.
Thing is, people want diversity. That's why the small independent directors survive in the world of movie blockbusters. It's why radio is one of the few media segments that experienced an *increase* in media share last year. The movie theatres still stand. There are still authors can earn a living by writing books.
So this whole idea of *every* game all of a sudden shall turn into clones of eachother, offering one kind of experience, the player versus player experience: Well, it is nonsense I tell you. Pure nonsense.
There will still be innovations, sure, and there will be many blends and variations of offline and online elements to games made possible when more and more of us are connected via broadband. We should welcome this, that is evolution and will keep gaming exciting.
But that will be addons, not replacements.
Hell, there is still even 2D platformers being released!
Last edited by Beamboom on 8/18/2011 12:34:55 AM
Dancemachine55
Thursday, August 18, 2011 @ 7:40:36 AM
Radio is used more than ever.
Cinemas are popular social entertainment places.
TV is adapting with internet features, but still just as important.
Comic books, graphic novels, all seen a huge rise lately with comic book film adaptations becoming popular.
It's not the death of something when something new is introduced. It's not gonna replace it, it's just gonna open up another option to experience it.
Highlander
Thursday, August 18, 2011 @ 12:13:45 PM
Talking about single player modes dying out and being replaced by multi-player modes is completely different to the evolution of radio, TV, movies or books. That evolution has almost entirely been in the media or delivery mechanism used. Books have not become multi-reader. Movie theaters are not solo viewing experiences, radio is as it always has been, despite being delivered digitally over a smartphone, or through a satellite.
Changing the fundamental dynamic of games is not an evolution it's a revolution in that it completely changes gaming and the basis of games. Not at all the same things.
Beamboom
Friday, August 19, 2011 @ 3:17:52 AM
But just like radio, movies and tv has evolved over the decades there will be an ongoing evolution of games of *all* genres and categories.
What direction will they take? We do not know. But I am 100% convinced that what we treasure about the single player experiences will not go away. They might only just be delivered in a slightly different form, but the effect will be the same: An amazing story enjoyed while playing solo.
I mean, it's not like multiplayer is anything particularly *new* in the history of gaming. It's been around since the late 90s. And if we say computer gaming as we know it today began around 1980 that means multiplayer has coexisted with single player for approximately half of the entire history of gaming so far!
Last edited by Beamboom on 8/19/2011 3:29:04 AM
Gabriel013
Thursday, August 18, 2011 @ 1:22:26 AM
Reply
It becomes a cycle of blank character kills blank character rinse and repeat.
If the multiplayer games focused more on an overaching story I may take more of an interest but still unlikely. I like my AI opponents thank you very much.
Beamboom
Thursday, August 18, 2011 @ 1:50:16 AM
In my opinion one simply can not compare single player and competitive multiplayer. It's like comparing a sports game with a reading a book. It is two entirely different things, both with their own sense of achievements.
I mean, you can easily say that a football match is rinse and repeat on the same field, right? Still, that is entirely missing the point.
Same thing with mp. It's not rinse and repeat, it's practice to master.
Ludicrous_Liam
Thursday, August 18, 2011 @ 2:52:06 AM
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Ludicrous_Liam
Thursday, August 18, 2011 @ 2:59:02 AM
About the topic at hand, I just don't see singleplayer experiances going anywhere, no matter how big the multiplayer 'boom' gets; games are singplayer experiances at heart. But I don't think you guys should hate so much on multiplayer; it can bring out the best in games. For example, I would be no-where near as good as I am now at UC2 had I not tested my skills against other people, I wouldn't be able to improve my creating skills had I not played the masterpieces out there on LBP2 (if any of you have it, you have to play 'Paris is for lovers' - quite possibly the most artisitc level I've ever seen)[mostly in regards to UC2, I guess LBP was always an online-centered game).
- what I can remember. :P
Beamboom
Thursday, August 18, 2011 @ 3:21:41 AM
Axe99
Thursday, August 18, 2011 @ 3:19:27 AM
Reply
Beamboom
Thursday, August 18, 2011 @ 3:56:01 AM
___________
Thursday, August 18, 2011 @ 4:09:53 AM
Reply
Fane1024
Saturday, August 20, 2011 @ 7:35:34 AM
bloody_rootz
Thursday, August 18, 2011 @ 6:35:05 AM
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Kingharris
Thursday, August 18, 2011 @ 7:11:58 AM
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Paolo Kutaragi
Thursday, August 18, 2011 @ 7:23:17 AM
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Look to the list of the games that I've played since May 2011 and what I'm planning to play till the end of 2011 (Perhaps I'll add a couple of games later, but the following games will surely be mine Insha2 Allah):
1) inFAMOUS 2
2) God of War III
3) God of War
4) God of War II
5) God of War: Chains of Olympus
6) God of War: Ghost of Sparta
7) Ico
8) Shadow of the Colossus
9) Catherine
10) Uncharted 3: Drake's Deception
So what a gamer like myself (I'm an old one by the way) has to do with himself if the time of stories and adventures (I prefer those terms to single player expereience!) come to an end?! I will seriously put an end to my story with gaming. It will be a sad end, but I'll never forget the days I spent enjoying those great adventures.
Last edited by Paolo Kutaragi on 8/18/2011 7:24:28 AM
CanadianGuy420
Thursday, August 18, 2011 @ 10:38:07 AM
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Warrior Poet
Friday, August 19, 2011 @ 12:15:22 AM
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Multiplayer is popular, and it's a good way to practice Street Fighter. And let's not forget multiplayer with someone who's in the same room!
Singleplayer isn't going anywhere. Even if no more SP-only games were made, there are already thousands of them out there. We won't get bored!

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big6
Reply
Wednesday, August 17, 2011 @ 3:30:38 PM
I hope Uncharted can, at least, maintain its single player awesomeness.