PS4 NewsDon't Be Surprised If Xbox One Finishes Third This Generation - PS4 News

Members Login: Register | Why sign up? | Forgot Password?

Don't Be Surprised If Xbox One Finishes Third This Generation

Let's get one thing straight right off the bat:

I've always believed the Xbox One will eventually win the North American region in the next-gen console war. The Xbox 360's dominance still matters and when you factor in Microsoft's relentless marketing, I think it's inevitable.

However, the way it's looking right now, I wouldn't be surprised in the least if the Xbox One finished third behind the PlayStation 4 and Wii U. Now, that may seem ludicrous given pitiful Wii U sales registered in 2013, but Nintendo has been surging as of late, and let's not forget that the Wii U is getting much bigger in Japan. Not coincidentally, that's the same country where you can't even give away an Xbox console.

Europe is PlayStation territory; it has been for years and that shows no signs of changing. If the Wii U continues to stage its comeback in the US (and some newly announced titles might make that happen), and the PS4 at least manages to remain competitive in this region throughout the generation, I think the Xbox One will finish last. It will get crushed in all other regions, especially Europe and Japan, where both the PS4 and Wii U might prove to be much more popular. So, even if Xbox One does end up owning North America, it won't be by much, and it won't be enough to outstrip either Sony or Nintendo on a global scale.

And if the PS4 ends up holding sway in North America, and the Wii U really does end up flourishing in the US and Japan, the Xbox One will get obliterated. It won't even be close. A lot of "what ifs" leap readily to mind, of course, and I'm not saying my prediction is gospel; it's just an observation. But remember, the Xbox One couldn't even outsell the PS4 in June after Microsoft dropped the price to $399. That is not a good sign.

Tags: next gen consoles, next generation, next gen war, xbox one sales

7/23/2014 9:55:37 PM Ben Dutka

Put this on your webpage or blog:
Email this to a friend
Follow PSX Extreme on Twitter

Share on Twitter Share on Facebook Share on Google Share on MySpace Share on Delicious Share on Digg Share on Google Buzz Share via E-Mail Share via Tumblr Share via Posterous

Comments (34 posts)

surfer
Wednesday, July 23, 2014 @ 10:28:22 PM
Reply

I am also surprised that Xbox One has not sold as well here in the states; however, I do think this holiday they will move more units and start catching up to Sony. Also, Sony needs to improve its updates as Xbox one now has 3d blu-ray as an added function. I still firmly believe Halo Master Chief Collection will move a lot of units especially if MS has a Halo themed console.

That being said, Sony will still hold a nice lead and in 2015 some great exclusives come out for PS4 to increase their sales.

Agree with this comment 1 up, 1 down Disagree with this comment

Buckeyestar
Thursday, July 24, 2014 @ 2:00:38 AM

The Playstation Twitter account announced tonight that next week's 1.75 update will add 3D Blu-ray movie support.

Agree with this comment 2 up, 0 down Disagree with this comment

GMRX
Thursday, July 24, 2014 @ 3:59:13 AM

But we are just back to square one, RELYING on Halo to sell units. That's pathetic even if it is true.

No doubt Halo is a popular IP, so is CoD, but I doubt people like myself will be moved if Halo is what it takes to bring people back. I've already played Halo games, I want new experiences.

Microsoft last gen focused heavily on the likes of Gears as their flagship, a new and innovative title, Halo kind of sat second place halfway through 360's lifecycle and took over again towards the end.

This time around I thought there would be something new to take the helm again, Ryse? Nope, that game was mediocre. Titanfall? Maybe, but it didn't make Ones fly off the shelf as much as MS thought it would and its sequel will be on PS4 anyway, so there goes second chances :/

I really don't want MS to have to revert back to using 2 IPs to get through the gen again, Gears and Halo, but as things look, that might just be the case.

Agree with this comment 4 up, 1 down Disagree with this comment

Shauneepeak
Thursday, July 24, 2014 @ 8:02:24 AM

TY Buckeye about damn time! I seriously went "What the hell is this crap." When I tried watching Spiderman 3D on my PS4 and I kept getting an error and had to plug in my PS3....

Agree with this comment 2 up, 0 down Disagree with this comment

surfer
Thursday, July 24, 2014 @ 9:05:01 AM

@Buckeyestar

Thank God for competition...consumers win...now why did it take an Xbox 3D blu ray announcement for Sony to add it to PS4...

Like I said, competition is great for consumers

Agree with this comment 2 up, 0 down Disagree with this comment

Knightzane
Wednesday, July 23, 2014 @ 10:36:46 PM
Reply

You've finally seen the light Ben. *Que FFT victory music*

Agree with this comment 1 up, 0 down Disagree with this comment

KidPresentable
Wednesday, July 23, 2014 @ 10:45:23 PM
Reply

Third isn't really bad in this business. The pie is pretty big. They also finished third last gen. I see the Xbox One ending up like the Xbox 1, a nice boutique system for the discerning gamer that doesn't follow the herd.

Agree with this comment 1 up, 6 down Disagree with this comment

Banky A
Thursday, July 24, 2014 @ 8:03:50 AM

Is not following the herd a thing?

Agree with this comment 0 up, 0 down Disagree with this comment

tes37
Wednesday, July 23, 2014 @ 11:05:48 PM
Reply

I wish Microsoft the best of luck at coming in third.

Agree with this comment 3 up, 0 down Disagree with this comment

WorldEndsWithMe
Wednesday, July 23, 2014 @ 11:13:15 PM
Reply

I'm not sure about third, after Microsoft closed the doors to its games division to focus on mobile gaming I think they may not finish this generation at all.

They will have to suckle on some timed exclusive DLC, they may have to cancel Sunset Overdrive, and the whole console will have to coast as a purveyor of third party games that are inferior to the PS4 version.

They tried but gaming takes patience and creativity, MS's executives are starting to have a problem with flushing money down the toilet.

Agree with this comment 3 up, 0 down Disagree with this comment

KidPresentable
Wednesday, July 23, 2014 @ 11:46:14 PM

Microsoft closed the games division?? When? You smoking what Knightzane usually is?

Agree with this comment 0 up, 0 down Disagree with this comment

tes37
Wednesday, July 23, 2014 @ 11:49:43 PM

I thought I read something similar, but I don't remember if I was smoking at the time.

Agree with this comment 0 up, 0 down Disagree with this comment

KidPresentable
Thursday, July 24, 2014 @ 12:05:24 AM

They closed the Xbox Entertainment Division which was just part of that TV crappola they were aspiring for. I think they did close a studio here and there but honestly they have done absolutely squat in their entire existence. ....

Agree with this comment 2 up, 0 down Disagree with this comment

Temjin001
Thursday, July 24, 2014 @ 12:25:59 AM

i think it was just one of their many studios. MS opens and closes studios for fun it seems.

but it makes me sad Sony closed Studio Liverpool. I need me some PS4 WipEout.

Last edited by Temjin001 on 7/24/2014 12:26:44 AM

Agree with this comment 1 up, 0 down Disagree with this comment

GMRX
Thursday, July 24, 2014 @ 4:03:31 AM

@Temjin001

They closed a studio, not given up on an IP. They still have a UK based studio and that studio is working on something, not sure what though.

I doubt they would give up on Wipeout, it's one of the games that MAKES playstation, but I'd rather see Evolution do something with it. They are awesome with arcade racers.

Agree with this comment 0 up, 0 down Disagree with this comment

SayWord
Thursday, July 24, 2014 @ 8:18:59 AM

Well they didnt close any games studios kid because they dont have much to begin with lololol

Agree with this comment 1 up, 1 down Disagree with this comment

Masszt3r
Thursday, July 24, 2014 @ 8:37:11 AM

They didn't close the doors to the gaming division. I think Kid is right, it was only all the TV crap which, ironically, is one of the selling points of the console.

Agree with this comment 0 up, 0 down Disagree with this comment

WorldEndsWithMe
Thursday, July 24, 2014 @ 12:30:24 PM

Close enough, I stand by the rest of my statement because this is a company that is built on sand and operating like a sinking ship.

Agree with this comment 2 up, 0 down Disagree with this comment

Temjin001
Wednesday, July 23, 2014 @ 11:22:03 PM
Reply

Nintendo has an uphill battle because the hardware is expensive. Their ability to bring the system's price down is hamstrung by their exotic controller.
Both SOny and MS should be able to bring their system's down in cost at a faster clip than Nintendo has been able to.

My prediction is that Sony takes all. Takes all in the event that MS can not take any sort of lead in the states be the year's end. I base this on what history has told me. Once a territory establishes a gamer-centric console front runner it maintains it's lead until the next generation. Sony has taken all with both PSX and PS2. I suspect they'll do it again with PS4.

Agree with this comment 2 up, 0 down Disagree with this comment

Karosso
Thursday, July 24, 2014 @ 3:20:02 PM

That is what I stated when the whole E3 blew up, with MS showing its true colors and Sony kicking it in the mouth.
I said I felt like the PS4 was the PS2 come again. The fact that Xbox720p can't out-sale the PS4 after a price drop shows that people realize that it is inferior to the PS4, and not worth it even at the same price point.
Sony needs to start getting every single PS4 bundled with a free good game @ 399, and it is game over for the Xbotched720p.

Agree with this comment 0 up, 0 down Disagree with this comment

Bonampak
Saturday, July 26, 2014 @ 1:10:40 PM

@Temjin001 - That's the first time I've ever heard that Nintendo's hardware is 'expensive'.

Here's how it is:

The Wii U's manufacturing cost is about $230.00. The trade price is around $300.00

Nintendo has had no loses yet. Mostly because they expected sluggish hardware sales during the last fiscal year.

And in order for Nintendo to reduce the price of the Wii U, they need to sell out from the last hardware shipments. When that happens, then they'll be able to give the Wii U a price cut.

Like Ben mentioned in his article, the Wii U is picking up steam in the US and in Japan. So there is a good chance that after this X-mas season, the current stock of Wii U units will be depleted. So they'll be in a position where they'll be able to give the Wii U a price cut next year.

With the X1, things aren't looking good at all. It costs nearly $500.00 to make each unit. Without the Kinect, you're still looking at a $375.00 manufacturing cost. And the only market where people bought Xbox units in the entire world, the American market, is beyond their grasp.

Agree with this comment 0 up, 0 down Disagree with this comment

Underdog15
Thursday, July 24, 2014 @ 12:27:14 AM
Reply

I kinda think XB1 will beat out WiiU, but even if it doesn't, XBOX has been 3rd every gen it's been a part of. Should be a huge surprise to see that continue.

Agree with this comment 0 up, 0 down Disagree with this comment

Underdog15
Thursday, July 24, 2014 @ 8:45:03 AM

Wait... I know xbox and gamecube were 20 and 24 mil... but don't remember which was which...

Agree with this comment 0 up, 0 down Disagree with this comment

tlpn99
Thursday, July 24, 2014 @ 1:46:56 AM
Reply

My 2 mates have just swapped their entire Xbox One collection for a PS4. They both said the games were not as good on that machine. Plus they missed the Sony exclusives and they are sorry they tried the Xbox. I only know now of 1 guy I work with who still has the Xbox One but he hardly plays it.

Agree with this comment 1 up, 0 down Disagree with this comment

Buckeyestar
Thursday, July 24, 2014 @ 2:13:10 AM

I work with a guy who was Xbox all the way. He'd never give PS3 a chance, citing he would consider it if there 5 decent games for it. (I know, right.) but he's dropping Xbox this generation and will be jumping all in on PS4. He's says Microsoft has already shown their hand, even though they pulled a 180, and he doesn't trust them enough to lend them his support.

Agree with this comment 0 up, 0 down Disagree with this comment

GMRX
Thursday, July 24, 2014 @ 4:08:08 AM

Microsoft's decisions at the beginning were fair play, I might not have agreed with them, but some of them I could have come around to if they explained themselves calmly and tried to convince us it was a good idea.

Instead they mocked their fans, basically told us we were stupid ancient dinosaurs for preferring physical copies of games etc and ultimately ended up proving that they were not leaders by 180ing everything they mocked us for not wanting and copying Sony's direction.

It was all rather pathetic and its because of that I chose not to buy a One.

Agree with this comment 2 up, 0 down Disagree with this comment

xnonsuchx
Thursday, July 24, 2014 @ 2:44:41 AM
Reply

A few times nearly nothing still isn't good, re: Wii U sales increase.

Agree with this comment 0 up, 0 down Disagree with this comment

Akuma07
Thursday, July 24, 2014 @ 2:54:13 AM
Reply

Who is the person who has been posting PSXE articles on N4G lately?

Just curious, the username says "fathoms".

I can almost pick which articles are from PSXE, even before I check this site haha. They are so familiar to me.

They usually get pretty high views.

Agree with this comment 1 up, 0 down Disagree with this comment

Banky A
Thursday, July 24, 2014 @ 8:04:26 AM

hehe PSXE makin' it b.i.g.

Agree with this comment 1 up, 0 down Disagree with this comment

WorldEndsWithMe
Thursday, July 24, 2014 @ 12:31:25 PM

Ben is fathoms

Agree with this comment 1 up, 0 down Disagree with this comment

Aura7541
Thursday, July 24, 2014 @ 11:48:10 AM
Reply

One of the huge problems with the X1 is that it's a redundant system. People may point out that the X1 has 3rd party support while the Wii U doesn't. However, the PS4 also has 3rd party support and 3rd party games always run better on that console. No one will buy a system to buy inferior versions of multiplats. Much of its exclusives, so far, have been greatly underwhelming and Titanfall is also on PC and the 360. Dead Rising 3 is also coming on PC. Thus, exclusives aren't much of a selling point for the X1.

The Wii U, on the other hand, has many games unique to that platform only. MK 8, Wind Waker HD, and Pikmin 3 are good examples. It's upcoming games are nothing to sneeze at either: Bayonetta 2, Splatoon, Smash, Zelda U, Xenoblade Chronicles X, and Hyrule Warriors. If Nintendo plays their cards right, they can hold onto 2nd place.

Agree with this comment 2 up, 0 down Disagree with this comment

Rachet_JC_FTW
Monday, July 28, 2014 @ 6:23:46 AM
Reply

yeah i woudn't be too surprised aye. i'd be inclined to agree with all of you and i don't know any but a couple of my friends that have an xbox.

happy gaming

Agree with this comment 0 up, 0 down Disagree with this comment

startazz
Monday, July 28, 2014 @ 9:55:16 AM
Reply

I guess if your a fanboy of either console it would matter,but as i'm not I couldn't care a toss who wins this console war BS,as long as they keep trying to out do each other that's all the matters,because we all win IMHO and the term console war has always put a smile on my face,now hate away.

Agree with this comment 1 up, 0 down Disagree with this comment

riptide8
Monday, July 28, 2014 @ 12:13:07 PM
Reply

Microsoft pulled some unfair business practice on me. They cost me about 120.00. I usually buy both consoles. This time around Im only buying one. I still have a huge backlog across 5 platforms. What can I say, I have kids and a sailboat. Now that Blue Ray support is here the PS4 will make it into the house soon. I have to but two of them.

Agree with this comment 0 up, 0 down Disagree with this comment

Leave a Comment

Please login or register to leave a comment.

Our Poll

The PS4 exclusive(s) reveal in December will be...
MEGATON! Biggest thing evah!
Pretty great, but not mind-blowing.
Something decent but that's it.
A waste of hype.

Previous Poll Results