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Analyst: Xbox One Will "Slightly" Outsell PS4 During Launch

How well will the anticipated next-gen consoles sell this holiday season?

Robert W. Baird analyst Colin Sebastian has predicted that combined worldwide shipments of the PlayStation 4 and Xbox One will hit 10-12 million.

His estimates are that both consoles will ship between 1.5 and 2 million units in North America, and 2.5-3 million in international markets. And at the end of the launch window, Sebastian doesn't give the edge to Sony's console, as some polls and studies have predicted.

"While many forecasts still give an edge to Sony/PS4 in North America sales, we continue to expect similar or even slightly higher sales of Xbox One by the end of the launch window."

He also cited the pricey offerings on eBay right now, as some pre-ordered systems are being auctioned off for as much as $800. Of course, that's a lot different from the PS3 launch, when the system was impossible to find and eBay prices were soaring into the $2000 range. Availability should be a lot better this time around, for both companies.

As for the Xbox One outselling the PS4 in the US, well...he's probably right.

Tags: ps4, playstation 4, xbox one, ps4 sales, xbox one sales

10/25/2013 11:40:25 AM Ben Dutka

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Legacy Comment System (13 posts)

Friday, October 25, 2013 @ 11:54:59 AM

I fully expect a "war" per se between the PS4 and the X1 in the United States for console dominance.

Outside of this country of mine? It may be over before it begins with Sony's machine establishing global dominance.

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Friday, October 25, 2013 @ 11:56:13 AM

I think for the launch window it all comes down to who ships the most. once the hardcore have exhausted the early allotments then we'll see who pulls ahead. I feel Xbox One has priced themselves out of the casual audience so I expect by the end of next year we'll see PS4 safely in the lead.

Last edited by Temjin001 on 10/25/2013 11:56:38 AM

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Friday, October 25, 2013 @ 12:59:15 PM

Agreed, casuals may prefer Xbox but they don't prefer higher prices.

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Friday, October 25, 2013 @ 12:58:43 PM

Well yeah this is North America, but if that's all MS can muster is to win America by a small margin that is a giant downfall from last gen.

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Friday, October 25, 2013 @ 2:24:22 PM

I don't know about M$, to much advertising, not enough exclusives.

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Lawless SXE
Friday, October 25, 2013 @ 4:44:06 PM

It's going to be interesting. Sony, it seems, is the fan favourite, but MS is pushing harder for the European market than ever before with the FIFA-free thing. Don't think either is going to take a convincing lead early, but the PS4 should be pulling ahead by the end of 2014, unless there's a dearth of games.

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Friday, October 25, 2013 @ 7:57:55 PM

North America has always been strong for Microsoft but I can't see the Xbone winning even here. The people most likely to buy within the next six months are the most hardcore buyers and the hardcore still hasn't really forgiven Microsoft. They'll get the most blindly loyal 360 users, but they've alienated a lot of their customers.

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Friday, October 25, 2013 @ 9:33:41 PM

once microsoft realise how badly they are failing and are forced to release a console version that does not include the hated kinnect, then they may be able to compete with the PS4 - especially once titanfall is released.

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Friday, October 25, 2013 @ 11:11:46 PM


again, this guy obviously hasnt seen any of the recent market research or the pre order numbers for the us.

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Saturday, October 26, 2013 @ 2:58:14 AM

as much as i don't want it to be true i know its a likely end senario not that i like it but its a very possible out come.

happy gaming =)

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slow and smart
Saturday, October 26, 2013 @ 8:47:31 AM

well,that the xboxone maybe outsells the ps4 in the us is not important.What is important is that the giant diffrence between xbox 360-ps3 in the us is reduced to a "maybe"slightly headstart of the xboxone-ps4 in the us,and because japan and also europe is where sony is champ and stays champ,that together makes the ps4 at start direct number 1 worldwide [talking about sells and not shipments,xboxones that ly on the shelf in europe do'nt count],and that's a huge leap foreward in comparison with the launch of xbox360-ps3!

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Saturday, October 26, 2013 @ 7:25:11 PM

Amazon says other wise once again.

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Sunday, October 27, 2013 @ 12:20:22 PM

Everybody I work with that play games they are either switching to PS4 right off the bat or waiting a little bit for more games to come into play, then buying a PS4... Either way, there isn't a single person looking at buying a Xbone. My friends who are almost all 360 owners are switching over to the PS4, well almost all of them, there are a couple dedicated Xbots still... While I'm sure it will be close I doubt the PS4 won't come out on top for launch sales.

I still want to see how long launch Xbones will work for...

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